I sense that US stock market will crash or pullback very soon..

jayjohn · Post by **jayjohn** » Tue Jun 07, 2016 7:45 pm

stay in some cash..

kc2i · Post by **kc2i** » Tue Jun 07, 2016 8:00 pm

And the reason for that would be... Rate hike?

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jayjohn · Post by **jayjohn** » Tue Jun 07, 2016 8:30 pm

1. Rate hike
2. Election
3. FED trying to push the market on any bad/good news to new high...no pullback..just keep going higher on bad news..
4. Everyone on media says to buy stocks which is bad sign
5. most of the stocks are very expensive....i do not see major upward growth worldwide...example ..APPL
6. Our salary is not going up and not too many good paying jobs ...etc

techynt · Post by **techynt** » Tue Jun 07, 2016 9:37 pm

Being the devil's advocate I would say that party may go on for a long time since rate may not be hiked more than .5% due to low inflation.

honeyglue · Post by **honeyglue** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 3:23 pm

I was also thinking that market will come down drastically, reasons Brexit, interest rate, no good news in the market yet going up (bubble)... no respite for bear like me..market is up, way up..

Dicky_Bird · Post by **Dicky_Bird** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 3:42 pm

Short the market if you think it's going to pullback

techynt · Post by **techynt** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 5:53 pm

S&P is giving 2% yield. compared to Bank FD which is around 1%.

Go ahead people just short the whole market. When it seems wrong it is wrong who needs to calculate what happens if interest rate stays at .5% for next 10 years. And mortgage rates are at 3.5%.

I am not saying market is going to go up.......I have no clue. But I can only bet on ranges....my forecast +-15% as most probable range in next 12-18 months.

heimat · Post by **heimat** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 6:55 pm

It's very hard to make predictions. Especially about the future. - Yogi Berra
Nobody knows nothing - Jack Bogle

techynt · Post by **techynt** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 8:47 pm

jayjohn;6324061. Rate hike
2. Election
3. FED trying to push the market on any bad/good news to new high...no pullback..just keep going higher on bad news..
4. Everyone on media says to buy stocks which is bad sign
5. most of the stocks are very expensive....i do not see major upward growth worldwide...example ..APPL
6. Our salary is not going up and not too many good paying jobs ...etc

FED is trying to push the market..... I would love to hear the details about every instrument involved in the transmission

DrJ · Post by **DrJ** » Wed Jun 08, 2016 11:40 pm

jayjohn;632400stay in some cash..

I never understood the stock market; every time one guy sells and the other guy buys, they both think they are being smart. I think the stock market always moves in such a way that makes the greatest number of people look foolish. The P/E ratio is simply the fraction of total number of investors wetting their pants.